报告题目：UK Climate Projection Updates and Impacts of Sea Level Rise on Coastal Flooding
报告人：Shunqi Pan 教授，英国卡迪夫大学
Shunqi Pan is Professor of Coastal Engineering and Director of Hydro-environmental Research Centre at School of Engineering, Cardiff University. He has more than 25 years research experience in coastal engineering, ranging from physical and numerical modelling of coastal and estuarine processes, particularly with interaction with the nearshore coastal defence structures, as well as modelling of large-scale waves/tides/surge prediction under extreme conditions, resource characterization for marine renewable energy and the impact of climate change on coasts and estuaries in recent years.
Since 2000, he has been a Principal Investigator or Co-Investigator for some 25 research projects funded by EPSRC, NERC and other sources, and secured more than £3m research funds. He has published more than 120 papers in international journals and conferences. He received the Halcrow Prize from the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) in 2007.
Currently, he is a member of the EPSRC peer-review college, an Associate Editor of Water Science and Engineering, and a member of the editorial board of China Ocean Engineering, having previously served in the editorial board of the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE, UK) Maritime Engineering Journal (2009-2012). He is an Environmental Partner member of the Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental Management (CIWEM, UK). He also has developed strong international research collaborations, particularly in China and Japan.
In parallel to the global climate projections from the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) are focused on studying the regional climate change in the UK and Europe with a greater detail and finer resolution. This talk will highlight the latest updates of the UK climate projections launched in Nov 2018 (UKCP18), which indicate the future regional climate change pattern of being “warmer/wetter winters & hotter/drier summers”. Sea level will continue to rise in next centuries and the risk of coastal flooding will continue to increase in the region. The impacts of sea level rise on coastal flooding are highlighted by modelling the coastal flood dynamics to assess flood hazard rate, using the TELEMAC suite at a number of flood-prone sites along the Welsh coasts.